English Premier League Tips 25/26 February 2012

After a break for the FA Cup the Premier League resumes this weekend which means the return of the very profitable Over 1.5 goals strategy.  In the last round of fixtures the strategy delivered yet again to maintain its 100% strike rate since picks were advertised; 22 out of 22 singles and accumulators combined.  This weekend the strategy has identified 4 qualifying matches although with odds of 1/8 in Man City / Blackburn I will not be placing a single on this but instead just include it within the 4-fold... Football has a knack of throwing up a surprise and I don’t want to be caught out at 1/8 when it does, but that’s just my own personal preference. 

 

The only Over 2.5 strategy pick last time out delivered with Bolton and Wigan, and we have one more qualifier this weekend which is the much anticipated match between Arsenal and Spurs, and I expect a cracker.

I’m still waiting for a win in the draw strategy since the opening pick.  For this week’s draw picks I’m sticking with the altered version of the strategy which should increase its profitability.  It involves backing 0-0 in the correct score market with 20% of the overall draw stake, and then backing the draw after the first goal is scored (if there is one).  There is still plenty of value in backing the draw pre-match if you prefer to place your bets and then ride them out.

So, picks for the next couple of days...

Over 2.5 goals strategy

Arsenal / Spurs

*Best returns experienced when staking for a target profit

Draw Strategy

Stoke / Swansea

*Best returns experienced with level stakes

Over 1.5 goals

Chelsea / Bolton

QPR / Fulham

Wigan / Villa

*Best returns experienced when staking for a target profit

The Over 1.5 accumulator will pay around 5/4 with Man City / Blackburn included making the 4-fold.

As always, shop around for the best odds and only bet what you can afford to lose.  Although quick big wins are great, the above strategies are aimed at steadily increasing the betting bank and making long term profit.

For other ad-hoc tips and reaction keep an eye out on Twitter @iFootballTIPS

All the best

Ronnie.

English Premier League Tips 11/12 February 2012

The Over 1.5 goals strategy proved to be as reliable as ever last weekend with the three over 1.5 singles coming in and therefore the associated treble.

The Over 2.5 strategy delivered a return for 1 of the 2 selections with Norwich/Bolton letting us down.  Norwich aren’t renowned for keeping clean sheets at home, in fact their first of the season was only a few weeks ago against Chelsea.  I have been disappointed with Bolton this season but after their win versus Liverpool I thought they could be relied on for a goal.

There were two draw picks last weekend neither of which came in.  This takes the losing run in the draw strategy to 6, although I’m not flapping just yet; I had a run of 6 consecutive losses while paper trading and these are to be expected, as are winning streaks.  For this week’s draw picks I’m altering the strategy which should increase its profitability.  It involves backing 0-0 in the correct score market with 20% of the overall draw stake, and then backing the draw after the first goal is scored (if there is one).  However, the strategy has shown plenty of profitability for the season so far when selections are backed pre-match.

As for the next couple of days, there are plenty of qualifying matches offering plenty of value...

Over 2.5 goals strategy

Bolton / Wigan

*Best returns experienced when staking for a target profit

Draw Strategy

Fulham / Stoke

*Best returns experienced with level stakes

Over 1.5 goals

Blackburn / QPR

Bolton / Wigan

Spurs / Newcastle

Wolves / WBA

*Best returns experienced when staking for a target profit

The Over 1.5 accumulator will pay around 3/2.

For other ad-hoc tips and reaction keep an eye out on Twitter @iFootballTIPS

All the best

Ronnie.

 As always, shop around for the best odds and only bet what you can afford to lose.  Although quick big wins are great, the above strategies are aimed at steadily increasing the betting bank and making long term profit.

English Premier League Tips 4/5 February 2012

The goals strategies continued to impress in mid-week’s Premier League fixtures with the three over 1.5 singles coming in and therefore the associated treble.  The over 1.5 goals market often doesn’t appeal to bettors because of the relatively low return to stake ratio (average 25%) but this is one of the factors which make it a market offering plenty of value.  With careful, educated picks and plenty of value, profit is to be expected.

A small loss was taken in the Over 2.5 strategy with Blackburn/Newcastle letting us down.  Sunderland/Norwich delivered with 3 goals, although I must confess to expecting Norwich to contribute to the goals as opposed to Sunderland getting all 3.  Speaking of Sunderland, it was interesting to see this week that if the season had started when O’Neil took over then they would be proudly topping the league; perhaps an indicator for those of you who use team power ratings in your analysis that you might want to reclassify Sunderland.

There were no draw picks mid-week as matches didn’t meet the qualifying criteria.  It turned out that 4 out of 10 fixtures resulted in a draw, and if all were backed blindly a decent profit would have been realised.  However, I’m not dwelling on that; I’ve learnt the hard way not to force it when confidence isn’t there.

As for the next couple of days, there are plenty of qualifying matches for each of the strategies and these offer plenty of value...

Over 2.5 goals strategy

Norwich / Bolton

QPR / Wolves

*Best returns experienced when staking for a target profit

Draw Strategy

Stoke / Sunderland

WBA / Swansea

*Best returns experienced with level stakes

Over 1.5 goals

The treble on the fixtures below will pay around 11/10.  I'll be on the singles too...

Norwich / Bolton

QPR / Wolves

Wigan / Everton

As always, shop around for the best odds and only bet what you can afford to lose.  Although quick big wins are great, the above strategies are aimed at steadily increasing the betting bank and making long term profit.

For other ad-hoc tips and reaction keep an eye out on Twitter @iFootballTIPS

All the best

Ronnie.