Norwegian and Swedish Correct Score Predictions 3-5th Aug 12

Last weekend I published goals analyses for the Norwegian and Swedish leagues which I have been using to inform a calculator I have developed to predict correct scores.  I have been testing the calculator over the last month with some promising results and will publish these predictions going forward. 

The calculator identifies the 5 most likely correct scores based on the number of goals each team is expected to score / concede.  Generally, dutching the 5 scores predicted will provide returns at odds of evens.  However, I have developed the tool not to identify dutch bets but to help identify trading opportunities.  The attraction of trading correct scores is that, even if the final score does not land on your prediction, profits can still be achieved or losses minimised if the score in-play passes through your predictions or the final score lands just short.

Test results to date are as follows:

Sweden
30 correct score predictions
18 predicted correctly
11 predicted to within 1 goal of the final score
1 very wrong prediction likely to equal loss of full stake


Norway
31 correct score predictions
16 predicted correctly
13 predicted to within 1 goal of the final score
2  very wrong predictions likely to equal loss of full stake

Although the calculator is very much in the test phase, I have used it to inform trades with small stakes.  I have not traded every predicted correct score as there are often as many as 4 to 10 games on at any one time across both leagues which for me is too many to trade at once.  Also, i use additional information such as team ratings and my own BTTS and Over 2.5s calculators to look for additional confidence in the scores predicted.  Generally, I avoid trades where the information pulls me one way and then another.

This weekend's analyses and predicted correct scores can be seen below...

Sweden

CS prediction: 0:1  1:1  1:2  2:1  AUQ

CS Prediction:  0:1  1:0  1:1  2:1  AUQ

CS Prediction: 1:0  1:1  2:0  2:1  AUQ

CS Prediction:  1:0  1:1  2:0  2:1  AUQ

Norway

 

CS Prediction:  0:1  1:0  1:1  1:2  AUQ

CS Prediction:  1:1  1:2  2:1  2:2  AUQ

CS Prediction:  1:0  1:1  2:0  2:1  AUQ

CS Prediction:  1:1  1:2  2:1  2:2  AUQ

CS Prediction:  0:1  1:1  1:2  2:1  AUQ

CS Prediction:  0:1  1:1  1:2  2:1  AUQ

CS Prediction:  0:0  1:0  1:1  2:0  2:1

I hope you find the information above as some use and I hope to have the CS predictions for Monday's games up on Monday afternoon.

Good luck, and as always keen to hear your feedback.

All the best

Ronnie.