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Welcome to iFootball Betting, home of free football betting advice and general discussion of all things football. For several years, I have been successful in making a profit from betting on English Premier League and European football markets. I hope this blog provides an insight into my approach to football betting and a source for others to benefit from my experiences. Good luck and feel free to get in touch...

Thursday, 21 February 2013

Goal List Prep: Friday 22nd February

Willem II v NEC




De Graafschap v Veendam



Cambuur v Den Bosch



F. Sittard v Oss



G.A Eagles v Helmond



Excelsior v Dordrecht



Volendam v Sparta Rotterdam



Eindhoven v Telstar


 
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4 comments:

  1. Anonymous22 February 2013 at 10:35

    I have been reading your blog with great interest. Noticed that you got the correct score right around 55%. And you got a lot matches thas has a goal in the first half.

    How do you calculate your excpected probabilities for goals? I'm not that good at statistics...

    ReplyDelete
  2. iFootball Betting23 February 2013 at 23:18

    Hi, and thanks for the interest.

    Expected goals per team are simply the average of home goals scored and away goals conceded for the home team and vice versa for the away team. The expected number of goals per team are then applied to a statistical technique (Poisson) which calculates the probability a team will score 0,1,2,3 goals. The correct scores highlighted are just the 5 most probable based on this approach.

    I hope that makes sense, all the best
    Ronnie

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous24 February 2013 at 12:49

    Thanks! I'm trying to calculate something similar myself.

    ReplyDelete
  4. iFootball Betting24 February 2013 at 16:11

    Good to hear, let me know how you get on.
    Ronnie

    ReplyDelete

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